Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.739659 4.007150 4.292145 4.619720 4.987504 5.389644 5.865290
2025-05-18 3.269487 3.639570 4.058438 4.572931 5.195376 5.934199 6.893378
2025-05-25 2.936180 3.347765 3.831961 4.453504 5.245376 6.243004 7.634130
2025-06-01 2.708143 3.143994 3.672089 4.373821 5.306015 6.540513 8.373116
2025-06-08 2.565763 3.026035 3.598437 4.383148 5.466726 6.971822 9.349867
2025-06-15 2.469043 2.953966 3.571602 4.443406 5.692779 7.511958 10.576896
2025-06-22 2.309688 2.788695 3.408246 4.299605 5.609019 7.578119 11.050122
2025-06-29 2.186768 2.662822 3.287465 4.202536 5.579159 7.715880 11.660733
2025-07-06 2.084025 2.557361 3.186636 4.123994 5.565926 7.872677 12.328425
2025-07-13 2.013104 2.490468 3.133965 4.109769 5.647619 8.191587 13.366158
2025-07-20 1.973607 2.463784 3.134906 4.173416 5.856427 8.752732 15.028641
2025-07-27 1.935952 2.437186 3.133499 4.231868 6.060449 9.332568 16.899754
2025-08-03 1.873832 2.376167 3.082878 4.216593 6.149907 9.735058 18.555653
2025-08-10 1.809258 2.309271 3.020765 4.179812 6.200696 10.076621 20.210111
2025-08-17 1.732047 2.220763 2.921736 4.076064 6.120839 10.139699 21.137527
2025-08-24 1.669376 2.150668 2.846828 4.006534 6.096177 10.314673 22.469006
2025-08-31 1.630609 2.113694 2.820092 4.014683 6.216187 10.823554 25.090127
2025-09-07 1.605133 2.094990 2.820067 4.067284 6.425967 11.576042 29.010724
2025-09-14 1.539916 2.014681 2.720418 3.941669 6.272611 11.440970 29.535843
2025-09-21 1.487698 1.952195 2.646367 3.856708 6.193950 11.479383 30.819416
2025-09-28 1.442104 1.898185 2.583537 3.787862 6.141936 11.577207 32.442046
2025-10-05 1.411367 1.865627 2.553465 3.775383 6.205059 11.983980 35.803061
2025-10-12 1.396771 1.857036 2.561259 3.831194 6.417378 12.834890 42.283710